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As debate not so much raged but gently percolated over the merits of “expected goals” as a useful metric for analysing football last week, it was difficult to shake off the feeling that the battle for survival and relevance between old-school pundits and the growing army of stats buffs had reached a somewhat pivotal phase.
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The sound may have been drowned out by the white noise generated by quarrelling over other, far more important global concerns, but the latest volley was fired by Jeff Stelling. The Sky Sports presenter went viral after footage of him denouncing expected goals in the strongest possible terms spread to a wider audience after being posted on social media. While other, even more boring articles than this one have been written about the value and definition of the statistic in question, for the purposes of brevity all that uninitiated readers need know is that the metric would be far less contentious if it was called something less geeky and more luddite-friendly such as “chances missed”.
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Never a man to let a [url=http://www.authenticcoyotestore.com/-40-justin-peters-jersey_c-459.html]... bee buzz around rent-free in his bonnet, Stelling had used his Soccer Saturday platform to clamber aboard his high horse and criticise Arsène Wenger for citing the expected goals in a defeat at the hands of Manchester City that Arsenal had suffered to point out the outcome was not quite the mauling suggested by actual goals. “He’s the first person I’ve ever heard take [url=http://www.officialbullsonlinestore.com/Authentic-Jerian-Grant-Jersey]ht... any notice of expected goals, which must be the most useless stat in the history of football!” he declared in exasperation to his rapt panel of former pros-turned-pundits. “What does it tell you? The game’s finished 3-1. Why do you show expected goals afterwards?”
In the subsequent clamour [url=http://www.ottawasenatorsofficialonline.com/Adidas-Jason-Spezza-Jersey]A... Jason Spezza Jersey[/url] no end of stats boffins chimed in with informative explanations of what exactly expected goals can tell us and how useful that information can be for football club managers, scouting departments, bookmakers and their customers, among others. Many of them were quick to denounce all who sail in the good ship Soccer Saturday as flat-earthers that the increasingly byzantine industry of football analysis has left behind, apparently oblivious to the irony that Stelling’s stock in trade is in fact football statistics, which he is able to machine gun down the barrel of a camera under the pressure of live television for hours at a time in an enlightening, entertaining and often very amusing way. While a cheap shot, it is of course also worth noting that Stelling hails from Hartlepool, a town so progressive its citizens once hung a ship’s monkey that washed up on the local shore because they thought it was a French spy.
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